Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.090858 0.141791 0.202449 0.277506 0.365727 0.464317 0.581150
2026-02-08 0.020530 0.066570 0.139148 0.245311 0.385165 0.554636 0.768256
2026-02-15 0.003361 0.037547 0.111770 0.235783 0.411746 0.635086 0.925843
2026-02-22 0.000017 0.023260 0.098957 0.240994 0.454045 0.733207 1.104359
2026-03-01 NaN 0.012328 0.084299 0.238109 0.481618 0.810043 1.254759
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004162 0.065961 0.223486 0.488814 0.857878 1.367107
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002895 0.068309 0.246094 0.551560 0.980479 1.575615
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001998 0.070942 0.269020 0.614919 1.104282 1.786292
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000863 0.068900 0.281734 0.662143 1.206035 1.968692
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000765 0.075243 0.312315 0.737973 1.347792 2.203890
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000362 0.076490 0.331740 0.796094 1.465221 2.407705
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000004 0.070368 0.333899 0.826034 1.543252 2.559962
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.053326 0.308426 0.811425 1.561096 2.637106
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.036004 0.275191 0.780738 1.554632 2.681502
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.028392 0.264802 0.787444 1.600623 2.794819
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.026123 0.270415 0.822557 1.688293 2.964745
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.021824 0.267325 0.841239 1.751465 3.101365
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.015262 0.251733 0.835311 1.777252 3.186525
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.017860 0.275833 0.905254 1.917522 3.429298
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.020554 0.300212 0.975803 2.058879 3.673839
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.020767 0.313706 1.025657 2.169229 3.876039
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.025322 0.346104 1.111720 2.334314 4.153728
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.027128 0.366640 1.175274 2.465685 4.385365